Financial Times (London)
By Robert B.
Zoellick
The final minutes of the
World Trade Organisation session in Cancun were symptomatic of the whole
meeting: we stalled after representatives of the least developed, African, and
Caribbean countries reported that their colleagues had rejected any negotiation
to update the 1947 rules on customs procedures.
The breakdown occurred over
measures that would have simply facilitated trade and helped land-locked
countries by ensuring prompt release of goods, publication of procedures, and
timely and fair rulings on customs questions. These commonsense steps are in the
interest of all; their rejection was a political statement. Sadly, this decision
was emblematic of a broader culture of protest that defined victory in terms of
political acts rather than economic results.
As Luis Ernesto Derbez,
Mexico's foreign minister and chairman of the meeting, closed the session,
representatives of influential developing countries finally rushed forward to
say they wanted to keep going. They correctly recognised that the draft text
offered an excellent opportunity to press the European Union to eliminate
agricultural export subsidies; to achieve big cuts in farm subsidies in the US,
EU and other countries; to impose a ceiling on unbelievably high Japanese
tariffs; and to open agricultural markets for developed and developing countries
alike. Yet they were too late.
The previous evening,
country after country had scorned the draft text, the negotiating process and
other countries. The United Nations General Assembly has its role, but it does
not offer an effective model for trade negotiations. A few ministers pointed out
that increasingly radical rhetoric would make it harder for all - especially
developing country groups with many smaller members - to consider realistic
compromises. Countries that feel victimised are unlikely to agree to
anything.
Cancun could have followed a
different course. Only weeks before, we had worked together to resolve the
difficult issue of ensuring that poor developing countries could gain access to
low-cost, life-saving medicines while protecting intellectual property. But at
Cancun the naysayers' tactics thwarted those who would have cut agricultural
subsidies and tariffs, triggering reform of farm policy in the US, EU, Japan,
Canada and elsewhere. They passed up an opportunity to open developing country
markets gradually to other developing countries. They stymied global sourcing
and production networks, which integrate developed and developing country
businesses to mutual benefit. And they walked away from rules on openness and
transparency that fight favouritism and corruption.
Key mid-level developing
countries employed the rhetoric of resistance as a tactic both to put pressure
on developed countries and to divert attention from their own trade barriers.
India's average bound agricultural tariff is 112 per cent, Egypt's 62 per cent
and Brazil's 37 per cent - compared with a US average of 12 per cent. Their
average bound tariffs on manufactured goods are at least 10 times larger than
the US average of 3 per cent. We should be able to reduce these barriers while
protecting the poorest nations and providing flexibilities for special
sensitivities in the bigger countries.
After the US pressed the EU
to develop an agricultural framework that could achieve farm subsidy and tariff
cuts far beyond those achieved in the last global trade negotiation, we asked
Brazil and other agricultural powers to work with us. Brazil declined, turning
instead to India, which has never supported opening markets, so as to emphasise
north-south division not global agricultural reform.
Smaller developing countries
resisted the reduction of US and EU tariffs because they calculated that they
would lose the advantages offered by special US and EU programmes that eliminate
tariffs only for their exports. Unfortunately, these well-meaning trade
preference programmes have undermined the push for two-way openings,
perpetuating dependency.
Four African countries
insisted on "compensation" of between Dollars 250m and Dollars 1bn (Pounds 153m
and Pounds 610m) annually, and unilateral elimination of cotton subsidies. Over
the course of 50 years, global trade negotiations have progressed because
countries could trade off cuts across products and even sectors to achieve a
balanced result. The US has no export subsidies on cotton and proposed the
elimination of all export subsidies. We committed to cut domestic cotton
subsidies as part of an overall package that would also have reduced European
and Chinese cotton subsidies, along with all agricultural subsidies. Instead of
making cotton a symbol, we wanted to make development a reality through concrete
results for cotton farmers, exporters and manufacturers of cotton products,
along with all farmers.
The tactics of confrontation
included an assault on one of the few devices that the WTO can use to prod its
148 members towards consensus: presenting a chairperson's text for discussion
and negotiation. Brazil, India and others refused even to work off an
agricultural text drafted by the Uruguayan WTO chairman and forwarded by the
WTO's Thai director-general. Even after Singapore's tireless minister had worked
non-stop with all parties to prepare a new agricultural draft reflecting a
balanced compromise, Brazil and its colleagues presented a massive list of
required changes. If they were serious about negotiating a compromise for 148
countries, they overplayed their hand by failing to signal that intention. They
returned home without any cuts in subsidies and tariffs.
As Chairman Derbez closed
the Cancun meeting, he asked countries to reassess prospects by December 15. We
know well what developing countries are demanding, but have not heard whether
more competitive developing economies will cut their high barriers. We do not
know whether other developing countries that blocked action in Cancun will now
accept packages that ask little or nothing of them. The US stands ready to work
with the draft text across the full agenda. As the Doha negotiations drift into
next year, however, we recognise that a new European Commission may reflect
different perspectives.
Many countries - developing
and developed - were dismayed by the transformation of the WTO into a forum for
the politics of protest. Some withstood pressure to join the strife from larger
developing neighbours. Of course, negotiating positions differed. But the key
division at Cancun was between the can-do and the won't-do. For over two years,
the US has pushed to open markets globally, in our hemisphere, and with
sub-regions or individual countries. As WTO members ponder the future, the US
will not wait: we will move towards free trade with can-do countries.
The writer is US trade
representative.
Copyright 2003 Financial Times
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